A forecasting framework that measures how voters evaluate candidates’ future leadership abilities and policy expertise accurately anticipated the closely contested outcome of the 2024 United States ...

As Spencer Pratt fell behind in the Los Angeles mayoral primary, an unexpected group began claiming election fraud: people tracking the Republican's success on prediction markets, the increasingly ...

Sara Jacobs disclosed selling up to $1 million of QCOM, fueling a bill bundling congressional stock trading and prediction-market bans into one package. Daniel Meuser's repeated NVDA trades and ...

Arrests for betting on the U.S. military operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. Death threats from gamblers to a journalist reporting on an Iranian missile attack on Israel. Fears of ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. Polymarket advertisements predict a victory for Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral election in November 2025. (Olga ...

This is read by an automated voice. Please report any issues or inconsistencies here. See more from the L.A. Times in Google Search. Set us as preferred The rapid rise of prediction markets has ...